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Showing posts with label survival tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label survival tips. Show all posts

Monday, December 5, 2022

Surviving Stagflation - Inflation Under Biden

 

Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…

www.poormansurvivor.net

ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 


Can you start a business that will survive the stagflation crisis?

Business does not stop merely because a nation or system collapses. As long as humans exist there will always be supply, demand and trade — our very survival depends on it. Historically, the way we trade during crisis events tends to streamline and simplify compared to the complex economies of boom times and adapting to this change is essential to making your particular business a fulcrum point within your community.

That is to say, consumer demand is going to reduce down to the most basic necessities and anyone that is able to provide those necessities in an efficient manner is going to do well. Also, any business that stops relying on supplies from far away and focuses on production of goods from home will remain viable while people that cling to the old days of "on-time delivery" and brokering prefabricated trinkets from overseas is going to fail hard.

This does not mean you should abandon your existing business if it does not currently meet these standards. Keep it running as long as you are able, just know that the party is going to end soon and you need to have a Plan-B. Start a side business that is self-sufficient, make sure it focuses on production and build from there. It is likely that this side business will one day become your primary business as our system continues to destabilize.

What we are facing is an engineered storm of negative circumstances. As I write this, stagflation is becoming a household word in the U.S., just as I warned it would over the past several years. Prices on goods are skyrocketing, but the real inflationary disturbance has not started yet. Corporations have been hiding stagflation by eating the extra costs on wholesale, and they have been quietly reducing package sizes little by little while keeping prices the same (shrinkflation). All of this is about to come to a swift end as we enter the holiday season. Corporations and suppliers are going to raise prices drastically and consumers will now feel the pinch.

The past shows us the way, however. There are certain trades and businesses that continue to do well even in the worst of times. First, we need to understand how our trade environment will change before we can succeed within it.

Local trade, barter and black markets

This might sound obvious, but I don't think many people even in the preparedness movement truly accept that everything about trading is going to change. It is unlikely that most of the items you purchase or barter will be found in a "store" or one-stop-shop or even an open bazaar. Things will get a little more tedious because you will have to network with other producers within your community to get what you need, and you will have to meet with each of them individually to trade. Depending on the level of organization in your area a barter market will hopefully form, and someone will have to provide the space and security to ensure safe trading is possible for everyone involved (this may be a good business idea).

*People are going to be trading everywhere, but a central marketplace might not be open regularly and so your business will be done through personalized transactions. Depending on the scale of threats at the time, you may want to keep all transactions private. That said, eventually, an open market will have to be established to make it easy for everyone to find what they need and trade faster.

The level of instability around you will dictate the trading strategies you will use. If the system is still somewhat functional and rule of law is still in place to a degree, then you might continue to use dollars, but alternative currencies (hopefully commodity-backed currencies) will have to be used as well. If the system is completely broken but government oppression is not a big issue, then regular barter markets will become a mainstay. If government intrusion and oppression are serious concerns, then black markets will become the order of the day.

The types of businesses that do well in these environments are those that have done well during past crisis events. Many of the ideas I list here are taken from inflationary crashes like Weimar, Germany, deflationary crashes like the Great Depression, and civil war environments like Bosnia. Let's get started...

Communications

Without communications networks nothing else will function; establishing a trade network will be very difficult. A business setting up post-collapse comms could be a highly lucrative one. This could include stocking radio equipment now and using it for barter later, or, if you have the knowledge you could set up and sell repeaters for your community. You could also work in an advisory capacity for a group or community, helping them to establish solid comms.

Another form of communication is printing services. Having the supplies of ink and paper to print newsletters, fliers, posters etc. would allow you to become a home-based printing shop for the community. Information needs to get around somehow, and if it's not being discussed on the radio then it will be discussed in print. Print communications might make a big comeback in the near term.

Natural resource procurement

The key here is to build your business around the resources and raw materials that are readily available in your region. For example, if you live near the ocean, then learn to make sea salt in large quantities. Although store-bought sea salt contains no iodine, homemade sea salts do contain trace amounts vital to the human diet. And salt has always been highly prized in every civilization for meat preservation without refrigeration.

If you live near forested areas, focus on timber for building materials or firewood. Heat in cold weather is a huge issue, and in a grid-down scenario, millions of people will be turning to natural heat sources in the winter, which means either wood heat or coal and oil heat. This requires a larger initial investment for chain saws or two-man saws and other tools, as well as a stock of gasoline to run them. For making lumber you will need a home sawmill which is a hefty investment but could well be worth it as you become one of the only sources for building supplies in your area.

If you have ample wild game near your home and you are a skilled hunter you could provide meat to your community for trade. This will cost you ammo, but the better a hunter you are the less ammo you will use. Fishing is a potential revenue source, and gardening and farming will of course be vital. Research the resources in your region thoroughly and think hard about what you could procure and produce using local raw materials.

Repurposed goods

The relatively new economic model of "break it and buy a new one" is going to end. A massive market demand is going to rise for people that repair and refurbish existing machinery and items. Think of it kind of like an eBay business or flea market business that becomes as big as Walmart.

The idea here would be to find a vital niche — you could focus on small engine repair working on generators, chainsaws and other important items. If you have sewing skills, you could repair clothing and blankets or sleeping bags. If you are a gunsmith, you can repair damaged firearms. If electronics is your thing, then you could collect parts from broken computers and use them to rebuild working computers, etc.

You can also function as a middleman for the people that fix things, finding a wide spectrum of necessities that are apparently broken and then trading them to the specific people that know how to fix them. You become a kind of procurer for the tradesmen, you just have to know what you are looking for and what is actually in demand.

Newly manufactured items might still exist, but they will be expensive due to stagflation and most likely rationed by either corporate retailers or the government. The word "rationing" is about to become a dominant household term just like stagflation, and we should expect government controls on purchasing including digital ration cards and restrictions according to vaccination status on federal distribution programs. If they can't control trade through the covid passports, then they will crash the supply chain and try to control trade through rationing. This means that used and repaired goods will be big business.

Household products and comforts

Soaps, cloth diapers, toilet items, lotions, candles, wooden bowls, plates and cups — the list goes on and on. A lot of people will have these items stocked, but many will not, or they will run out and need more. Just because you are in the middle of an economic crisis does not mean people will not be looking for basic comforts. Many of them can be easily made with natural raw materials or repurposed materials at home.

There will also be a demand for psychological relief through stimulants. Meaning, people will still be trading for alcohol and other drugs. Homebrewers and marijuana growers will probably do well in almost any trade environment, and historically this has always been the case, even during prohibition.

Home heating

I mentioned this briefly above, but I cannot stress enough how massive the home heating issue is going to be in the near future. If there are any electrical grid problems the first thing people are going to be looking for is off-grid heating. This could include wood stoves, propane heating, pellet stoves and so on. People will also likely need to close off large portions of their homes in the winter and only use a couple of rooms in order to save fuel and heat. People with basements will end up spending the majority of their time in the winter below ground because this is the most heat-efficient option.

Being able to supply wood fuel to areas with few trees will be big business. Propane might become expensive, so stocking some for trade would be smart. Repairing or building wood stoves would make you a key business in your area. Also, sleeping bags and other passive items for warmth will be in high demand when people can't get fuel for heating. Very few people will have the money to set up a solar system large enough to run electric heaters for most of the day, so the market demand for fuel-based stoves will be constant.

Home health care

If you are a medical professional such as a nurse, doctor or paramedic then there will be demand for your services. Vaccine passports will be used as an excuse to deny people medical care at hospitals and you can fill the gap by offering home visits to identify and treat various ailments. To be sure, many pharmaceuticals will be in short supply, but if you have a stockpile and also integrate natural health care options then you should be in business for a long time.

Keep in mind that the establishment will seek to interfere with home-based medical care, so being discreet will be helpful, and having the protection of your community will be best.

Security

Depending on the scale of the crash there will no doubt be a shortage of security professionals to keep your community safe from crime, looting and outside threats. Any person that is able-bodied and actually knows how to fight, how to shoot, knows tactics and is not inclined to run away at the first sign of danger will be a rare commodity. Security services could also include basic consultation for a large property, neighborhood or town advising them on the best ways to protect their homes.

Keep in mind that covid mandates are forcing up to half of police forces in many places to leave their jobs. If this continues, local law enforcement will collapse. The military and the National Guard are in the same situation. They will never be able to find enough people to fill the void and even if they did, they would be using people that are more likely to harm you than protect you. You will have to provide your own security.

There are a lot of blowhards out there that claim they have the knowledge to do this, but when the stakes are high, they will fold and run. Understand that big talk does not always translate into expertise or action. Finding people that will not run is going to become the top priority of every community. Finding people that have the physical ability to handle the stresses of security and potential combat is also going to be an issue.

Endeavor to become a skilled security specialist and you will always be needed within your local economy.

The thinker's market

Economic crisis often cuts away the fat. Businesses and skill sets that are only useful in first world boom times will fall away and people that rely on them will not survive. Your average office worker, manager or service worker is not going to do well. Brick and mortar will evolve into something very different, and online revenues may not exist or will be restricted according to your politics. You have to be able to think outside the box.

Focus on necessities and your chances increase exponentially. Focus on production and you remove the middlemen. Focus on local resources and materials and you remove reliance on outside imports. The ideal survival business would be a producer making a necessary product using materials he can easily find right around his own home. This might not be your situation, but you can get as close as possible using your ingenuity.

Knowing the local market and knowing the demand is the other factor. The key to any business is understanding what people want or need and how those needs change according to events.

To truth and knowledge,

Brandon Smith

 *In our area flea markets are booming as online selling has become expensive due to the Post Office hikes, fees, etc.


SIDEBAR

How to Grow an Indoor Survival Garden Year Round

One main reason why your garden may survive better indoors. The rising price of food, especially produce, is leading to the casual and indiscriminate theft of fruits and vegetables from backyard gardens.

There was a time when bugs and passing rabbits caused the most havoc in our gardens, but more and more people are waking up to find their tomatoes mysteriously gone, their cucumbers vanished, and their perfect peppers disappeared...

How to Grow an Indoor Survival Garden Year Round




With inflation stubbornly sticking around, stocking the pantry may seem like a challenge.

Yet, there are ways to stock the pantry to ensure you save time and money in a pinch. These are some of the ways Beth Eggleston, a Meijer Nutrition Education Specialist, advises people to stock their pantry.

Stocks and Broths

Soup may come to mind when stocks and broths are mentioned, but they are more versatile than one might think. Eggleston cooks both her meat and grains in stock. “I like to cook chicken breasts in broth. I’ll do it in the crock pot and then it’s a lot more juicy and with more flavor.” says Beth, “I will use broth to cook grains because it gives it that extra oomph, that extra flavor as well”.

Beans and Rice

Stocking the pantry with beans and grains may be a great side dish, but it can also become the base to a rice bowl. After cooking the beans or rice, adding toppings can lead to a quick meal.

Packaged Meats or Fish

There are many types of salads that may benefit from the use of packaged meats. Eggleston uses canned tuna to top her niçoise salad. Niçoise salads generally include lettuce, green peppers, eggs, green beans, potatoes, and some form of preserved fish on top.

Pasta

The pasta aisle is a very crucial element within pantry stockings. The wide variety of styles and ingredients can be utilized in a plethora of recipes. “There are tons of traditional pastas, but now there’s a lot of bean-based pasta, gluten-free, protein-packed pastas, whole wheat grain pastas,” explained Eggleston. Stuffed shells and pasta bakes are just two examples of the possibilities that can be used on a quick meal night.

Read the full story here.

 

How To Buy First Rate Seconds

Did you know a little imperfection can actually save you a lot of money? We explore the why, how, and where of buying imperfect first rate seconds.

How to DIY A Low-cost Survival Retreat (7 Step Plan)

It takes just 7 steps to shield you from danger, and to create a place that’s safe.

 

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But only if you act now.

 

Click Here to Reveal ‘How to DIY A Low-cost Survival Retreat’ <<





 

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Frugal Living Ideas from The Great Depression and WWII

Do you need to make things go a little further? These frugal living lessons from past financially tough times can help you make things go a bit further and prepare for uncertain times.

Frugal Recipes for Homemade Dog Biscuits

Would you like to treat your pup with inexpensive home-baked goodies? Try these frugal recipes that your dog is sure to love!

How to survive a socialist America – Create your own economy; our economy has reached "a point of no return

Are you thinking about starting a small business? You will need a business plan, which is a roadmap for structuring, running and growing your new business. SBA has resources to help you write your business plan.

Learn more

 

 


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Monday, October 24, 2022

How to live through economic meltdown; tips to save on groceries, more

 

 

Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…

www.poormansurvivor.net

ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 


How to live through economic meltdown; tips to save on groceries, more

Financially, it seems as if the end is near. Economic Armageddon is upon us, as the Federal government lubricates the moving parts on the printing presses and new money begins to fly out.

In his special report, Shadow Government Statistics: Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting, John Williams wrote,

The U.S. economy is in an intensifying inflationary recession that eventually will evolve into a hyperinflationary great depression. Hyperinflation could be experienced as early as 2010, if not before, and likely no more than a decade down the road. The U.S. government and Federal Reserve already have committed the system to this course through the easy politics of a bottomless pocketbook, the servicing of big-money special interests, and gross mismanagement.

It is now a decade down the road, and this was written before the U.S. Congress passed and President Barack Obama and subsequently Donald Trump and now Joe Biden signed their multi-trillion-dollar economic stimulus bills into effect.

The amount of money being spent is unprecedented in human history.

So what will the enormous spending program do? It will push simple inflation (a continuing rise in prices due to an increased volume of money and credit relative to available goods and services) into hyperinflation.

That's because fiat money implies by its definition that it self-destructs through depreciation (inflation). Anything that can be created to infinity with political incentive eventually becomes worthless. There are no exceptions. For paper money to work, its issue must be equal to the production of goods and services.

Does anyone think that is the case today? Dream on, if you do.

There is plenty of historical precedent for prolificacy of money creation bringing hyperinflationary chaos which then collapses into depression. The stark reality is that the public has no clue until a collapse arrives and completely destroys their assets and their lives.

A currency collapse is progressing every day with each new dollar that is printed. Now is the time to realize it, rather than later when chaos reigns and everyone is trying to survive at the same time.

We can't have wide open money printing and have a viable and strong currency at the same time. Again I would say dream on if you think so.

So, what are our predictions? Long-dated Treasurys will show huge losses when interest rates begin to rise. In time, Treasury securities will reach "junk status," and in the long term all U.S. debt will become junk. This outcome is near.

You may ask, "But Bob, why would the Federal government leave us vulnerable to such a dreadful occurrence as a spiraling crescendo of hyperinflation?"

Does greed, corruption and general cluelessness sound like a good enough reason?

Even at this time, Treasurys pay less than the rate of official inflation, never mind the unofficial inflation numbers. Millions of retired people are now experiencing a lower standard of living.

The same is true with certificates of deposit, which pay an interest rate less than the rate of inflation. In other words, if you have your money stashed in what you believe is a safe return CD, you are losing money every day.

Though most are oblivious, U.S. dollar savers are being routed. Savings accounts are paying interest rates less than the devaluation of the dollar. This U.S. dollar crash syndrome is an autoimmune disease where people (the rich and the poor) are impoverished because they were thrifty and saved.

But saving your money by putting it under the mattress is no good either. As the value of the dollar shrinks so does the value of your savings.



With depreciating currency comes rising prices. Depreciating currency brings a lower standard of living and equally a permanent loss of asset values. Look to Venezuela as a current example. And Zimbabwe before that. In December 2008, inflation was over a trillion percent and the economy had been "dollarized," signifying that local currency was virtually unacceptable as legal tender. But Zimbabwe is not the only modern example of an economy ruined by government overspending. In fact, there are many other examples:

  • Turkey, 2007 — Turkey has suffered from chronic inflation for decades. In 1980, one U.S. dollar was worth 90 Turkish lira. By 2004, a U.S. dollar was worth 1.3 million Turkish lira. As a result, in 2007 the government simply declared a revaluation of the Turkish lira. One million Turkish lira would, from then on, be worth only 1 lira.
  • Romania, 2005 — In 1998, the highest denomination in Romania was 100,000 lei. By 2005 the highest had become 1 million lei. The Romanian government then devalued its currency, declaring that one new leu would be worth 10,000 lei.
  • Argentina, 2001 — Overspending by the Argentine government resulted in massive inflation in the 1980s and '90s. By 1992, one new peso was worth 100 billion pre-1983 pesos. (Because the old peso had been devalued so much, if Argentines had stuffed their pesos under the mattress in 1982 they would have ended up with nothing.)
  • Russia, 1994 — Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the new Russia saw annual inflation as high as 2,500 percent in 1992. By 1994 it had dropped to 850 percent because of a tightening of monetary policy and the failure to pay wages to workers in state enterprises, a policy that kept prices low by depressing demand. The value of the ruble declined from 40 rubles to the dollar in 1991 to 30,000 rubles to the dollar by 1999.

If the annual cost of living increases just 5 percent or 6 percent, the purchasing power of money will rapidly vanish. And because of negative real interest rates, consumer price inflation will accelerate, a fact not known by the public. The real spending power of households whose income depends on fixed interest instruments will be cut, reducing their standard of living.

For example, in 1933 the Consumer Price Index (the price of a basket of common goods purchased by the average consumer) was 12.8. In 2008 the CPI was 225. In other words, that same basket of goods has increased from just under $13 to $225. Currently, it's 271, and that's without goods and services that actually price inflate — because they have been taken out of the CPI. Who knows what it would actually be, comparatively speaking.

But it would be high, as anyone who has gone to the grocery store or to buy gas has figured out. Once again, inflation is starting to outpace economic predictions.

As prices rise and the lower classes find it increasingly more difficult to buy necessities, O'Bidenomics will increase taxes on the producers and savers even more, hoping to spread the wealth around. As the spending kicks in, the formerly profligate-spending conservatives will claim to have had an epiphany. They will kick and scream at the thought of running up more debt than they already have caused. But that's a farce.

We are still trying to understand America in terms of capitalism and free enterprise, when in fact America is now a socialist country with a pretty face called democracy.

All fiat systems in history have been in socialist states, no matter the national pretense, as in our term, democracy. Socialist states have a history of suppressing their own people. And all socialist fiat money states/countries transfer wealth and production to the state without payment. Of course, as in America today, this transfer takes place via the depreciation of paper money. The owner of the money printing press owns and controls all wealth and production.

Precious metals expert and financial writer Bill Holter said in June it was “game over, they’re pulling the plug.”  The Fed went on an aggressive interest rate raising policy and is still raising rates.  Now, the economy is staggering.   Holter explains, “For sure, we are already in a recession.  We are now in the third quarter of negative growth.  I think it is laughable that people  put odds on whether or not we are going to go into a recession because it is obvious–we are already in a recession.  Rates rising have absolutely frozen the real estate market.

The real economy runs on credit.  Everything you look at, everything you touch and everything you do every day has many uses of credit to get to the final product or situation.  So, once credit freezes up, it’s completely game over. 

How to prepare

You don't have to just sit by and do nothing. There are simple, easy, inexpensive steps you can take right now to protect your family.

I've prepared a 21st-century survival guide called the Ultimate Hyperinflation Defense Manual that I believe can help you prepare for the worst financial threats America now faces.

This manual is chock-full of proven strategies, techniques and information that can make all the difference during the financial emergency that is inflation, or hyperinflation. In fact, my newly-updated and revised Ultimate Hyperinflation Defense Manual can make your life better even if, God willing, we sidestep some of the economic catastrophes that I fear are coming.

That's because the steps you take now to prepare for some of these possible disasters will end up making you financially stronger... more independent... and more self-reliant than you are now.

You won't find this privately printed dossier in stores. I've developed it exclusively for my extended family of readers, and I've packed it with practical, real-world strategies for coping with a financial catastrophe.

[Last one]  Get our money survival package!

Robert Kiyosaki, the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, tweeted the following:

"The best time to prepare for a crash is before the crash. The biggest crash in world history is coming. The good news is the best time to get rich is during a crash. Bad news is the next crash will be a long one."

Survival Series-5 Pak Bundle-Recession-Money Handbooks for Trying Times

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SIDEBAR

 

How Much Land Would You Need To Be Self-Sufficient?

 

It seems like more and more people these days are drawn to the idea of self-sufficiency. They want to be able to provide for themselves without relying on anyone else. 

While this is a commendable goal, it's not always as easy as it seems. In order to be truly self-sufficient, you need a lot of land. 

So how much land would you need? Keep reading to find out!

How Much Land Would You Need To Be Self-Sufficient?


You may also like...

17 Simple Ways To Be a Little More Self-Sufficient

 

Grocery Prices Expected to Keep Rising


Dave Ramsey on for saving on groceries during inflation

 The four tips can certainly help you save, but they are nothing new. Here are the four tips (or you can read the full article here):

·         Identify low-cost grocery stores.

·         Look for foods that are cheap and filling.

·         Only buy items you need.

·         Go big on coupons.

 


Survival Garden: How to Endure an Economic Collapse

Want to swap $30 for your $1?

 

Because that’s what a survival garden could save you over a year. Better than gold, stocks, or bitcoin.

 

Especially in times of high inflation.

 

While the real value of knowing you’ll be fed, even when stores are empty, is priceless.

 

Click Here to Discover ‘Survival Garden: How to Endure an Economic Collapse’ <<

 

 

 

12 Reasons You Should Stock Up On Honey

12 Reasons You Should Stock Up On Honey

 


What is a go bag?...

 

A go bag is a pack you make in advance. Ready for an evacuation. When the S-H-T-F...

 

That will keep you alive for several days...

 

If you pack the right stuff…

 

Bug Out Kits-Choose Your Level

  • 72-hour 4Patriot emergency food pack [25 year shelf life
  • 4Patriot Greens sample pack [Power supplement]
  • 3 Luna Nutrition bars [assorted]+Sunmaid raisin pouch
  • Cleaning Wipe Pack
  • Steel River Emergency Tent
  • Mini  First Aid kit
  • TRS 5N1 EDC folding tool
  • 3-package meal sampler
  • Paracord bracelet w/ compass
  • Reusable Face Mask
  • Personal Water Filter Straw
  • 11-Piece Emergency Survival Kit 

We offer several sized kits at:

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URBAN SURVIVAL HANDBOOK

https://cdn.4patriots.com/downloads/pdf/reports/4Patriots-Ultimate-Survival-Handbook.pdf

 

 


Free enterprise, limited government, individual freedom!

 

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You Can’t Buy Life Insurance After You’re Dead

Not Prepared? 

That's Bad News...

 

 

You Can’t Buy Life Insurance After You’re Dead-Prepare NOW for Emergencies…

 

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