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Thursday, June 23, 2022

Lack of civility hurts our nation

 

Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…

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ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 


Is a lack of civility in political discussions going to tear America apart?

Most Americans seem to believe we are experiencing a political divide like never before seen in America. Such a belief belies history. Sharp political divide and resulting demonstrations have been a part of the American body politic since the beginning.

In the early 1790s the nascent political parties, Federalists and anti-Federalists (later Jeffersonian Republicans), divided sharply over how to respond to the French Revolution and the French Revolutionary Wars, with Federalists favoring allying with Great Britain and anti-Federalists favoring the French.

President George Washington issued a neutrality proclamation in May of 1793 over the protests of members of both parties. American merchants continued to trade with both England and France.

But as hostilities between England and France escalated the British began seizing American merchant vessels attempting to trade with France. After they had seized hundreds of ships and their cargo, Washington sent Supreme Court Chief Justice John Jay to work out a treaty with the British for the return of the ships and deal with some business left over from the American Revolutionary War that weren't solved by the Treaty of Paris.

The terms Jay worked out fell short of Washington's expectations and angered both political parties. The controversy over the treaty's terms sent Congress behind closed doors for negotiations. The more Americans learned about the treaty's terms the less they liked it.

When demonstrations opposing the treaty broke out they often included the chant:

"Damn John Jay! Damn everyone who won't damn John Jay! Damn everyone who won't stay up all night damning John Jay!"

Jay was burned in effigy during many demonstrations that included pushing and shoving. Secretary of State Alexander Hamilton was heckled when he appeared at a meeting in New York to explain the benefits of the treaty. Some in the crowd even threw stones.

Of course, the difference between those demonstrations and the ones we are seeing now is obvious. Those were grassroots demonstrations carried out by Americans who understood threats to liberty posed by government.

Today's demonstrations are AstroTurf elitist-funded and fueled riots that are drawing in useful idiot leftist (mostly) millennials and single-issue pro-baby-murder women from across the nation who know little about American civics and even less about liberty and who are advocating for totalitarian government intervention to throw our borders open to a host of Third World America-hating socialists and destroy liberty.

Leftist never-Trumpers are still shouting, "Damn Donald Trump! Damn everyone who won't damn Donald Trump! Damn everyone who won't stay up all night damning Donald Trump!" As he's not even the president anymore.

Civil discourse

It seems as though there will never again be civil political discussions in America.

Even if you overlook the clashes between the two fascist forces — BLM/Antifa and the white supremacists, who are nothing more than an extreme but vocal minority — as fringe elements and not reflective of reality, all political discourse seemingly deteriorates quickly to calumny, contumely and vitriol, if not open conflict.

We are at a point where television pundits and deep state operatives call Donald Trump delusional and who continually questioned "his ability, his fitness to be" in office, while ignoring the seeming lack of mental acuity of the sitting president; when supporters of the opposition are "deplorable"; when right-leaning Hollywood actors "are very hesitant to speak out in support of Trump because they fear that they will never work again"; and where journalists condescend to conservatives, implying — if not stating outright — that conservatives are simply unthinking Neanderthals with single-digit IQs.

There is nothing new under the sun

So the question becomes, is this a new phenomenon? Are we experiencing something never before seen in American politics?

The short answer is no.

Our country was only a dozen years old when political divisions began rearing their head; mostly between the Alexander Hamilton faction of High Federalists and the Federalists and Jeffersonian Republicans.

The political differences taking front and center in the early days of the republic cost Thomas Jefferson many friends and opened rifts between him and other friends. One of them was John Adams.

Jefferson spoke of this in an 1808 letter to Richard M. Johnson, writing:

It has been a source of great pain to me to have met with so many among [my] opponents who had not the liberality to distinguish between political and social opposition; who transferred at once to the person, the hatred they bore to his political opinions.

Those conflicts sometimes resulted in duels. Let's hope cooler heads can prevail today. It's not looking likely... but America is still here, despite a history of political divisiveness. I can only hope we are enduring a harsh winter and that a spring thaw will come one day. Otherwise, another civil war seems likely.

Yours for the truth,

Bob Livingston
Editor, The Bob Livingston Letter®



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Wednesday, June 22, 2022

Inflation is worse than Carter Era

 

 

Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…

www.poormansurvivor.net

ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 

 


The Fed is taking the punch bowl away, but the inflation crisis will continue to grow

Inflation worse than the Carter Era

An economic earthquake is sending destructive waves through our entire economy...

Can you feel them?

Of course you can...

Inflation is worse than it was in the 1970s. In fact, Peter Schiff, CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc., said he thinks if the government measured CPI under the old formula, CPI would clock in around 15%. ShadowStats comes up with a similar CPI estimate using 1980-based numbers.

Four years ago, the overall sentiment among alternative and mainstream economists was that the Federal Reserve would never hike interest rates, taper stimulus or reduce its balance sheet into economic weakness. In fact, this was one of the few viewpoints that the mainstream and independent economists actually agreed on. A few of us had different ideas, though.

The argument is based on a dangerous assumption that the Fed's goal is purely to prop up and extend the life of the U.S. economy and stock markets. If you have been tracking equities in the Dow or the Nasdaq for the past decade, then it might seem like a safe bet. For several years they have consistently added stimulus or cut rates whenever stocks started to drop more than 10 percent, and this is what started the famous investor mantra "Buy The F'ing Dip." It was a sure thing; all you had to do was buy stocks after a correction of around 10 percent and the Fed would come in to save the day with more inflationary QE.

However, things change, and it is foolish to assume that the Fed actually cares about maintaining the U.S. economy. If they did care, they would not have tried to hide the inflation threat for so long.

My position on the Fed is the same as it has always been: The Federal Reserve is a suicide bomber. It is a useful weapon for the globalists at the BIS, the IMF, the WEF, etc. And those globalists want a new financial crisis so that they can implement global changes to the way money works and the way various national economies function. They want a single global authority and a one-world digital currency system. They want to be able to dictate all human trade around the planet using a single mechanism.

In order to achieve these ends, they need the Fed to blow up the U.S. economy, and that is exactly what they have done; most people just don't realize it yet.

As I've noted previously...



"Every collectivist regime in history has used poverty and near-starvation, or government rationing and management of production, as a means to keep their populations under control. This is nothing new but for some reason, many people think this strategy will never be attempted in America. They think the establishment "needs" the American economy intact. They are simply delusional.

When the government and the elites behind the government become everyone’s Mommy and Daddy and the sole providers for the means of survival, it is unlikely that the citizenry will try to rebel. That is to say, people rarely bite the hand that feeds them.

So, central banks and their corporate and political partners follow the Marxist model and seek to become the hand that feeds; by hook, by crook or by financial collapse if necessary."

The only question was one of timing. When would the central bankers try to pull the plug and allow the inflationary disaster to unfold without hiding it any longer?  Well, now we know...

As I predicted, the Fed is embarking on an active campaign to hike interest rates by 50 bps or larger per meeting. Some members of the Fed have sought to temper concerns by claiming that these hikes will be limited to around 2-3 percent. This is likely a lie. The jump in the U.S. money supply and the level of inflation I see and data tracking sites like Shadowstats.com sees indicates that interest rates of 2 percent to 3 percent will do nothing to stop the crisis. The Fed will use the ongoing price increases and stagflationary pressures as an excuse to continue hiking rates well beyond that.

The money supply issue is key here because the Fed does not acknowledge price inflation so much as they use money supply as their rationale for policies like hiking rates into weakness.

It's not a rule, but it is certainly a habit that the Fed likes to change the way they calculate certain economic stats whenever there is a major crisis. They changed the way inflation was measured in the 1980s after the near-disaster under Jimmy Carter (not his fault really, it was Nixon and the Fed completely removing the dollar from the gold standard a few years earlier that actually caused it). They also changed the way GDP was adjusted multiple times, and they have changed how official unemployment is reported. In most cases, these changes are designed to hide a problem rather than trying to gain more accurate data.

For example, the Fed ended its reporting of M3, which is a more accurate measure of the total money supply of U.S. dollars circulating around the world (they claimed M2 was just as good). This measurement was inconvenient to the Fed because inflationary policies are ever-present and accurate reporting might cause "alarm" within the American public. So, they simply stopped making the data available.

Maybe it's just a coincidence, but the Fed ended M3 in 2006 right before the credit crisis of 2007/2008 began, and right before they introduced tens of trillions of fiat dollars in bailouts and QE stimulus. One might think they knew a debt implosion was coming and that massive inflationary policies would be the response...

Another change has been made to M1 and M2 calculation (less accurate measures of U.S. money supply), and this was done in 2020, right in the midst of the COVID pandemic response. Strangely, this time the Fed's changes involved adding savings deposits from smaller accounts to the overall money supply data, which means the money supply jumped substantially.

Let me put this another way: The Fed's calculations of M1 are integral to how they create new monetary policy. They have been calculating M1 the same for decades. Suddenly, in 2020, they changed how they calculate M1 in a way that greatly increases the end result, to the point that it quintuples. It is very rare for the central bank to make data adjustments that make things look worse rather than making things look better.

Why did they do this?  I have a couple of theories.

Theory #1: In 2020 the Fed was already in the midst of one of the most pervasive stimulus programs since the bailouts of 2008/2009. They created over $6 trillion in new money in a single year, and that's just the official number not accounting for overnight loans and other programs. This money was injected directly into the general economy and into average people's accounts, as well as into the coffers of international corporations.

It is possible the Fed changed how they calculate M1 because they wanted to hide the true amount of dollars they were creating from thin air. If you try to make the argument that the Fed caused our current inflationary crisis, and you use M1 or M2 as an example of this, the central bankers can now say "Hey, that big jump in money supply is not because of our fiat printing, we added savings accounts to the calculation and that's why it's so high."

Of course, then you would have to believe that the money being held in small savings accounts across the country is enough to multiply the total money supply by 5 times. Yeah, I don't think so. To summarize, the Fed changed its data reporting in a negative way on purpose in order to obscure the role they are playing in the inflation disaster now unfolding.

Theory #2: The central bank wants to raise interest rates into economic weakness without argument. So, they adjusted the money supply calculations to be slightly more honest. Whether or not this giant leap in M1 and M2 in 2020 is due to savings accounts being added or due to elicit Fed printing doesn't matter. The point is, the Fed intends to jack up interest rates and taper in the extreme while GDP and retail are in decline and wages are becoming stagnant. It's the same thing the Fed did at the onset of the Great Depression, which made the depression far worse than it would have been otherwise.

That is to say, the Fed is seeking to sabotage our economy, but they need the data to justify their actions. They need the data to more honestly reflect the inflation threat so that they can hike rates and taper into economic weakness while avoiding any blame for the inevitable consequences.

In either case, the Fed's actions suggest that inflation is going to continue unabated, and they are merely positioning themselves to deflect blame.

The argument among independent and mainstream economists alike will now be that the Fed will "capitulate" and reverse course on tapering as soon as they "realize their error." Sorry, but the central bankers are well aware of what they are doing. I suspect liberty movement people want to believe the Fed will continue stimulus measures because they want gold and silver market prices to go up.

Don't worry, prices will go up eventually because there is zero chance that the Fed will stop inflation/stagflation with a 2-3 percent interest rate hike. Also, as the economic war with the East continues to heat up, nations like the BRICS will continue to dump the dollar as the world reserve. The physical price of gold and silver will decouple from the manipulated paper ETF price. It already happened in 2020-2021, and it will happen again soon.

Mainstream financial commentators want to believe the Fed will capitulate because they desperately want the party in stock markets to continue, but the party is over. Sure, there will be moments when the markets rally based on nothing more than a word or two from a Fed official planting false hopes, but this will become rare. Ultimately, the Fed has taken away the punch bowl and it's not coming back. They have the perfect excuse to kill the economy and kill markets in the form of a stagflationary disaster they caused. Why would they reverse course now?

To truth and knowledge,

Brandon Smith

 

POSTSCRIPT



Looming Price Hikes on Food Set to Hit Americans This Fall

Higher inflation could force Fed action, leading to a 'deeper recession'

In its effort to contain inflation, the Federal Reserve has launched what many expect to be an ongoing series of interest rate increases, which are already taking a toll on stock and housing markets, with job losses likely to follow. As weary as Americans have become from paying record high gas and grocery prices, however, another round of price hikes is making its way through the food supply chain and is expected to reach consumers this fall.

“People don’t realize what’s fixing to hit them,” said Texas farmer Lynn “Bugsy” Allen. “They think it’s tough right now, you give it until October. Food prices are going to double.”

The 8.8 percent increase in food prices [ShadowStats.com says it’s closer to 20%] that Americans have already seen does not take into account the dramatic cost increases that farmers are now experiencing. This is because farmers pay their costs upfront and only recoup them at the point of sale, months later.

“Usually, what we see on the farm, the consumer doesn’t see for another 18 months,” said John Chester, a Tennessee farmer of corn, wheat, and soybeans. But with the severity of these cost increases, consumers could feel the effects much sooner, particularly if weather becomes a factor.

What Is Your Plan To Make It Through The Worst Global Food Crisis In Any Of Our Lifetimes?

 Biden has publicly admitted that the coming food shortages are “going to be real”, and the head of the UN World Food Program is now telling us that we could soon see “hell on Earth” because the lack of food will be so severe.  Food prices are already escalating dramatically all over the globe, and food riots have already erupted in Sri Lanka and elsewhere.  But most people in the western world are treating this crisis as if it is no big deal.  Many seem to assume that our leaders have everything under control and that things will work out just fine somehow.

Unfortunately, the truth is that everything is not going to be okay.

 

SIDEBAR

When disaster strikes, no one knows when things will return to normal again. In some cases, things may never truly return to normal. With this being the case, it’s a good idea to stock up on foods that are meant for the long haul.

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With that said, here are 20 survival foods that can last at least 20 years...

20 Survival Foods That Will Last For 20 Years


You may also like...

14 Types of Food You Need to Stockpile

 

The first level of preparedness is what you have on you at all times.

In this video Jason Salyer explains what he carries, how he carries it, and why he chooses these items.

You’re sure to be inspired to access your everyday gear after watching this video.

 

"The best time to prepare for a crash is before the crash. The biggest crash in world history is coming. The good news is the best time to get rich is during a crash. Bad news is the next crash will be a long one."

The Benefits of a Household Stockpile

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Not Prepared? 

That's Bad News...


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A Smoking Frog Feature, Shallow Planet Production

 

 

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

Things to buy now, Mistakes of food shortages

 

Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…

www.poormansurvivor.net

ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 


7 Things To Buy In Case Of Shortages

We are just starting to see the global impact of the war in Ukraine. The worldwide shortage of petroleum, as countries refuse to permit Russian oil imports, has been driving gasoline and diesel fuel prices up for the last month, over and above the huge price increases that came with supply chain issues and the president's energy policies. 

But there’s much more to this picture than just high gas prices. Russia and Ukraine together account for something like 35% of the world’s wheat supply.

In addition, Ukraine and Russia are the two largest growers of sunflower seeds, and both contribute heavily to the world’s production of corn. US farmers depend heavily on Russian-produced potash, which is used in 92% of the fertilizer those farmers use...

7 Things To Buy In Case Of Shortages


You may also like...

12 Supplies That Will Be Worth Their Weight In Gold Someday

 

12 Things That Are in Short Supply Right Now

Supply chain issues, a lack of workers and other problems mean these items have been vanishing

 


 


The stagflationary collapse has arrived... here's what happens next

 

A deflationary collapse or an inflationary collapse... a stagflationary collapse. The reasons for this were very specific. Mass debt creation was being countered with more debt creation while many central banks have been simultaneously devaluing their currencies through QE measures. It was only a matter of time before the forces of deflation and inflation met in the middle to create stagflation.

 It is no coincidence that the culmination of the Fed's stimulus bonanza has arrived right after the incredible damage done to the economy and the global supply chain by the COVID lockdowns. It is no coincidence that these two events work together to create the perfect stagflationary scenario. And it's no coincidence that the only people who benefit from these conditions are proponents of the "Great Reset" ideology at the World Economic Forum and other globalist institutions. This is an engineered collapse that has been in the works for many years.

The goal is to "reset" the world, erase what's left of free-market systems and establish what they call the "Shared Economy" system. This system is one in which the people who survive the crash will be made utterly dependent on the government through Universal Basic Income and one that will restrict all resource usage in the name of "carbon reduction." According to the WEF, you will own nothing, and you will like it.

The collapse is engineered to create crisis conditions so frightening that they expect the majority of the public to submit to a collectivist hive-mind lifestyle with greatly reduced standards. This would be accomplished through UBI, digital currency models, carbon taxation, population reduction, rationing of all commodities and a social credit system. The goal, in other words, is complete control through technocratic authoritarianism.

All of this is dependent on the exploitation of crisis events to create fear in the population. Now that economic destabilization has arrived, what happens next? Here are my predictions:

The Fed Will Hike Interest Rates More Than Expected, But Not Enough To Stop Inflation

Today, we are witnessing the poisonous fruits of a decade-plus of massive fiat money creation, and we are now at the stage where the Fed will reveal its true plan. Hiking interest rates fast or hiking them slow. Fast hikes will mean an almost immediate crash in markets (beyond what we have already seen), slow hikes will mean a drawn-out process of price inflation and general uncertainty.

I believe the Fed will hike more than expected, but not enough to actually slow inflation in necessities. There will be an overall decline in luxury items, recreation commerce and non-essentials, but most other goods will continue to climb in cost. It is to the advantage of globalists to keep the inflation train running for a while.

In the end, though, the central bank will declare that the pace of interest rates is not enough to slow inflation and they will revert to a Volcker-like strategy, pushing rates up so high that the economy simply stops functioning altogether.

Markets Will Crash And Unemployment Will Abruptly Spike

Stock markets are utterly dependent on Fed stimulus and easy money through low-interest rate loans. This is a fact. Without low rates and QE, corporations cannot engage in stock buybacks. Meaning that the tools for artificially inflating equities are disappearing. We are already seeing the effects of this now with markets dropping 20 percent or more.

As far as jobs are concerned, Biden and many mainstream economists constantly applaud the low unemployment rate as proof that the American economy is "strong," but this is an illusion. COVID stimulus measures temporarily created a dynamic in which businesses needed increased staff to deal with excess retail spending. Now, the COVID checks have stopped, and Americans have maxed out their credit cards. There is nothing left to keep the system afloat.

Businesses will start making job cuts throughout the last half of 2022.

Price Controls

I have no doubt that Joe Biden and Democrats will seek to enforce price controls on many goods as inflation continues, and there will be a handful of Republicans that will support the tactic. Price controls actually lead to a reduction in supply because they remove all profits and thus all incentives for manufacturers to keep producing goods. What usually happens at that point is the government steps in to nationalize manufacturing, but this will be substandard production and at a much lower yield.

In the end, supplies are reduced even further, and prices go even higher on the black market because no one can get their hands on most goods anyway.

Rationing

Yes, rationing is going to happen, so be sure to buy what you need now before it does. Rationing occurs in the wake of price controls or supply chain disruptions, and, usually, this coincides with a government propaganda campaign against "hoarders."

They will hold up a few more exaggerated examples of people who buy truckloads of merchandise to scalp prices on the black market. Then, not long after, they will accuse preppers and anyone who bought goods before the crisis of "hoarding" simply because they planned ahead.

Rationing is not only about controlling the supply of necessities and thus controlling the population by proxy; it is also about creating an atmosphere of blame and suspicion within the public and getting them to snitch on or attack anyone that is prepared. Prepared people represent a threat to the establishment, so expect to be demonized in the media.

Be Ready, It Only Gets Worse From Here



It might sound like I am predicting the success of the Great Reset program, but I actually believe the globalists will fail. That's not going to stop them from making the attempt. Also, the above scenarios are only predictions for the near term (within the next couple of years). There will be many other problems that stem from these situations.

Naturally, food riots and other mob actions will become more commonplace, perhaps not this year, but by the end of 2023 they will definitely be a problem. This will coincide with the return of political unrest in the U.S. as leftist factions, encouraged by globalist foundations, demand more government intervention in poverty. At the same time, conservatives will demand less government interference and less tyranny.

At bottom, the people who are prepared might be called a lot of mean names, but as long as we organize and work together, we will survive. Many unprepared people will not survive. Understand that the economic conditions ahead of us are historically destructive; there is no way that serious consequences can be avoided for a large part of the population, if only because they refuse to listen and take proper steps to protect themselves.

The denial is over. The crash is here. Time to act if you have not done so already.

To truth and knowledge,

Brandon Smith

 

RELATED:

7 Things To Buy In Case Of Shortages

We are just starting to see the global impact of the war in Ukraine. The worldwide shortage of petroleum, as countries refuse to permit Russian oil imports, has been driving gasoline and diesel fuel prices up for the last month, over and above the huge price increases that came with supply chain issues and the president's energy policies. 

But there’s much more to this picture than just high gas prices. Russia and Ukraine together account for something like 35% of the world’s wheat supply.

In addition, Ukraine and Russia are the two largest growers of sunflower seeds, and both contribute heavily to the world’s production of corn. US farmers depend heavily on Russian-produced potash, which is used in 92% of the fertilizer those farmers use...

7 Things To Buy In Case Of Shortages


You may also like...

12 Supplies That Will Be Worth Their Weight In Gold Someday

 

12 Things That Are in Short Supply Right Now

Supply chain issues, a lack of workers and other problems mean these items have been vanishing

 

mistakes of food storage
If you are going to store food, make sure that the food you store is adequate for the need you and your family anticipate. This may not be as easy to achieve as many people think, because the facts are that most people make serious errors when storing food errors that will come back to haunt them when the food they’ve stored is the only thing that stands between them and their empty, dissatisfied, bellies.

 

SMART Ways to Save at the Pump

Here are several smart ways to reduce gas consumption so you can gas up less. And you could benefit in other ways as well!

 

Under new law, Arizona students will learn history of communism

 

Out of Desperation, Democrats Resurrect ‘Insurrection’ Theater

 

As illegal immigration surges, so do drug trade, human trafficking

 

 


Natural disasters don't wait for a convenient time

And you shouldn't wait to prepare either. In some cases there is little to no warning.

Prepare now to lessen the impact of disasters and emergencies

 

Remember:  You can’t buy life insurance after you’re dead!

When you think about packing up items to help you survive a natural or human-made disaster, you often think of backpacks. And there is good reason.

Backpacks are sturdy, lightweight, and with multiple pouches and pockets, they allow you to stow a large number of essentials. They come in expandable widths and sizes to fit even your smallest family members. And the best part is that your hands remain free with a backpack.

Super Emergency Survival Kit

  •  Solar phone charger
  • 72-hour 4Patriot emergency food pack [25 year shelf life
  • 4Patriot Greens sample pack [Power supplement]
  • 3 Luna Nutrition bars [assorted]+Sunmaid raisin pouch
  • Cleaning Wipe Pack
  • Steel River Emergency Tent
  • Mini  First Aid kit
  • TRS 5N1 EDC folding tool
  • 3-package meal sampler
  • Paracord bracelet w/ compass
  • Reusable Face Mask
  • Personal Water Filter Straw
  • 11-Piece Emergency Survival Kit 

And more…

https://www.bonanza.com/listings/Better-Safe-Than-Sorry-Super-Emergency-Survival-Kit/1143536466

 

CREATING AN EMERGENCY FOOD SUPPLY-FOOD SURVIVAL REPORTS-FREE

Compliments of: The PoorManSurvival team

https://1drv.ms/u/s!AgMpmQI6plfXiBqUHg-8SkA59L8f?e=YJZavA



 

Useful Resources from our storefront-See new items!

You Can’t Buy Life Insurance After You’re Dead-Prepare NOW for Emergencies…

A portion of our proceeds is donated to charitable Veterans groups such as Wounded Warriors & the VFW!

 


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