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Tuesday, April 26, 2022

Global food production to be lower

 

 

Poor Man Survival

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Food Production Is Going To Be Substantially Lower Than Anticipated All Over The Globe In 2022

 I don’t think that people realize how severe this crisis will eventually become.  Never before in modern history have we seen global food production being hit by so many major problems all at once.  It truly is a “perfect storm”, and hundreds of millions of people are going to deeply suffer as a result.  I would very much encourage you to share this article with as many people as you can, because everyone needs this information. 

I am going to share a lot of statistics in this article, and each number is important.

But ultimately it is the collective impact of all of these factors together that is really going to hammer us.

Let me start by talking about rice.  According to Bloomberg, the global fertilizer crisis is going to result in a loss of production worldwide that is the equivalent of enough food to feed “500 million people”…

From India to Vietnam and the Philippines, prices of crop nutrients crucial to boosting food production have doubled or tripled in the past year alone. Lower fertilizer use may mean a smaller crop. The International Rice Research Institute predicts that yields could drop 10% in the next season, translating to a loss of 36 million tons of rice, or the equivalent of feeding 500 million people.

We don’t eat that much rice in the western world, but in Asia it is a core staple of their diets.

How will all of that food be replaced?

Well, they could eat more wheat, but there is going to be a lot less wheat produced in 2022 as well.  In fact, one agricultural commodity expert is warning that the war in Ukraine alone could mean that “between 19 million and 34 million tons of export production could disappear this year”…

Globally, there are six breadbaskets that together supply roughly 60 to 70 percent of global agricultural commodities. The Ukraine–Russia region is responsible for roughly 30 percent of global exports of wheat and 65 percent of sunflower, in a context where those markets are increasingly tight and interconnected—so a slight disruption in supply creates some impact on price.

Of course, we don’t know what the length and scale of this conflict will be. We ran some scenarios, and from our perspective, between 19 million and 34 million tons of export production could disappear this year. If we fast-forward to 2023, the figure could be between ten million and 43 million tons. To translate, that represents caloric intake for 60 million to 150 million people.

I don’t know about you, but I regularly eat a lot of things that contain wheat, and so do hundreds of millions of others.

So this is going to be a huge issue.

And we are already seeing wheat prices go completely insane.  From early March to early April, the price of wheat jumped almost 20 percent

Global food prices rose to their highest-ever level in March, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization reported April 8, with wheat prices up nearly 20% from a month earlier.

Unfortunately, the outlook for the months ahead is very troubling due to bizarre weather patterns all over the planet.

Here in the United States, much of our winter wheat has been devastated by persistent drought

According to the USDA, 69 percent of total U.S. winter-wheat production is in an area experiencing drought, including hard-red winter, soft-red winter and soft white. That includes 82 percent of the production area in Kansas, 82 percent in Colorado, 99 percent in Texas and 99 percent in Montana.

On the other side of the globe, parts of northern Africa are experiencing their “worst drought in decades”

Morocco’s agriculture minister said the North African country would likely lose 53 percent of its cereals harvest after experiencing the worst drought in decades. Rainfall was 41 percent less than average this season.

So how will all of that food be replaced?

Well, I suppose that we could all eat more corn, but the outlook for corn is not good either.

Russia and Ukraine are normally two of the largest global exporters of corn, but now the war has changed everything, and there have been very serious planting delays here in the United States…

Chicago corn was largely unchanged on Wednesday and near a decade-high scaled in the previous session, as traders fretted over planting delays in the United States and a lack of supplies from war-torn Ukraine.

On top of everything else, there will be a lot less eggs produced this year, there will be a lot less chicken meat produced this year and there will be a lot less turkey meat produced this year because of the nightmarish bird flu pandemic which just keeps getting worse.

According to NPR, the total death toll has now risen to “more than 28 million”

More than 28 million poultry birds, like chickens and turkeys, have been lost in the U.S. because of a new bird flu. The virus either made the birds sick or they were culled to prevent its spread. Unlike previous bird flus, this one is also affecting a lot of wild birds. As NPR’s Nell Greenfieldboyce explains, that could keep the virus in circulation for a long time.

The vast majority of the time, most of us never even think about where our food comes from.

But that needs to change, because food production systems are collapsing all over the world.

Before I end this article, I wanted to share the tragic news that the headquarters of Azure Standard just burned to the ground

Dear friends, the headquarters of Azure Standard, the nation’s premier independent distributor of organic and healthy food, was destroyed by fire overnight. There were no injuries. The cause of the fire is unknown and under investigation. The loss of the facility and the impact on company-wide operations is being assessed and expected to be limited and temporary. No other Azure Standard facilities were affected.

I personally know people that get food from Azure Standard, and many of my readers regularly shop with them.

Let us hope that authorities can discover how the fire was caused.

Until we know more, I will refrain from saying too much about what happened.

For years, we have been warned that a global food crisis was coming, and now it has officially arrived.

And with each passing day, more things are happening which threaten to make it even worse.

For now we are still eating food that has already been produced.  The real problem will come in the months ahead when total global production of food drops well below total global demand for food.

***It is finally here! Michael’s new book entitled “7 Year Apocalypse” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.***




NOTE:

Several recent fires such as the Azure Standard fire and the Taylor Farms food processing facility fire in Salinas, California, are both widely covered in recent news stories.

 

·         – Dried milk plant – Idaho fire 10-21
– Food processing plant fire San Antonio 12-21
– JBS beef plant fire 12-21
– Mississippi poultry feed mill boiler explosion 12–21
– Hamilton Mountain poultry processing plant fire 1-22
– LeCompte Feed mill fire, Louisiana 1-22
– Bonanza meat company fire El Paso, Texas 2-22
– Shearer’s Food Plant Fire, Oregon 2-22
– Mauston Wisconsin River Meats fire 2-22
– Food bank in Maricopa county Arizona- food pantry 50,000 pounds of food destroyed by fire 3–22
– Nestle fire Arkansas. 3-22
– Walmart distribution Center fire 3–22
– Potato processing plant Penobscot, Maine 3-22
– Sherbrooke, Canada food processing fire 4-22
– Fire grain elevator plant fire, Kansas 4-22
– Fertilizer plant fire 4-22
– Azure Standard fire 4-22
– Food processing plant fire, Salinas California 4-22

 

·         - Gas at the pump ↑ 48%
- Used cars ↑ 35%
- Bacon ↑ 18%
- Beef ↑ 16%
- Milk ↑ 13%
- Appliances ↑ 12%

·          

·         Everything is COSTING MORE than it did a year ago…AND that's why the Poor Man has always preached stockpiling!

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USEFUL RESOURCES

 

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What to Do With Human Waste When The SHTF

No matter how many gadgets you have, how much food and water you have, how ultimate your bug out bag or vehicle is, there is one basic fact of life that we all have to deal with... Everybody poops. (And urinates, for that matter). 

During normal times, a person finds comfort and privacy by retreating to the nearest restroom to take care of their business. After a few minutes, their business is completed and a flush later, maybe two, the problem is out of sight. 

However, after some SHTF event, indoor plumbing may not be an option for a lot of people. If utilities are not kept online, that means no water pressure for those tied into a city or town water line. No water pressure means you won’t be able to flush your business down the toilet...

What to Do With Human Waste When The SHTF

 

How To Survive Stupid People

I'm sick of them...

Because I see them everywhere, every day...

And there's only a way to cope with such people...

Click Here To See "How To Protect Yourself From Stupid People"

 

The photos show up in the media just before or just after every sort of disaster. We see images of people lining up to buy emergency supplies. We also see “sold out” signs and rows of empty supermarket shelves.

Clearly, the time to stock up on these items is not when you need them, but well before you need them. If you are embracing a preparedness lifestyle, you already know you need to plan ahead to protect your family. You certainly don’t want to be one of those people wasting time and precious resources trying to find survival items at the last minute.

Whether it's a natural disaster such as a hurricane or an earthquake, or a human-made emergency such as an act of war, most essential items will disappear quickly from store shelves. (In many crisis situations, stores may not even be open to serve the public.) As you build your emergency pantry, here are 50 items to consider stocking up on now – before it is too late...

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The world we used to know is rapidly unraveling….

 

It’s only a matter of time before we feel significant consequences.

Are you prepared for:

  • Further supply chain disruptions, leaving stores with more empty shelves?
  • Cyberattacks on the infrastructure we Americans need to live?
  • Dirty water that is undrinkable?
  • Blackouts across entire states?

 

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Inflation Report: https://1drv.ms/b/s!AgMpmQI6plfXh1RsZVn1Sl-qx_kO


4 FREE Digital Reports:

  • The Water Survival Guide [Download]
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URBAN SURVIVAL HANDBOOK

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A Smoking Frog Feature, Shallow Planet Production

 

 

5 comments:

Judy said...

you've posted an informative series-too bad so many have ignored your advice over the years.

Sean said...

It's stuff like this which keeps us coming back-not seen on mainstream news!

Amelia said...

On the bright side: Less food will mean less of a need for TP!

Brad said...

There's an exceptional amount of stupid, evil jerks that I see on the left; you know, the ones screwing our country!

Connie said...

Inflation is hammering Americans. Prices on everything are going up with no end in sight.

Like an invisible tax - every time inflation rises, your hard-earned nest egg shrinks.

And there are fears that the Fed will crash the economy trying to stop inflation with record high interest rates.

We are facing 70s style stagflation all over again