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Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Keys to Building a Successful Portfolio With Rare U.S. Coins


Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…


ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 


9 Keys to Building a Successful Portfolio With Rare U.S. Coins

NOTE:  This is a continuation of alternative income/wealth building ideas…I don’t agree with all that Rich says…I buy “junk silver” mostly.  One except: American Silver Eagles.  See my follow up blurb at the bottom of this article.

What should I buy?

For anyone looking to start building a portfolio of early U.S. gold, that is typically their first question. The answer varies for every client.

Sometimes, the answer is dictated by wallets… How much are you willing to allocate to rare coins?

Sometimes, the answer is dictated by interests… Is there a particular era or location that has some personal meaning to you?

Sometimes, the answer is dictated by supply… What is the very best coin available on the market today in your price range?

I could go on, but I think you get the point. There are myriad possibilities. As a result, there are myriad collections.

Whatever your answer is, you can tilt the scales much in favor of your success by following nine easy guidelines…

9 Steps to Success

Keep in mind — with so many options available to you in the collectible space, chances are you won’t tick every box on this checklist every time. That’s OK. But the more steps you include in your buying decisions, the better your chance for success.

1. Buy Graded Coins

Prior to the 1980s, the rare coin market was like the Wild West. It was not uncommon to buy a coin from a dealer where they assigned a grade and priced it accordingly, only to sell back to the same dealer in the future and find they have “adjusted” the grade down since you bought it.

Of course, the lower grade would negatively affect your sell-back price.

With the advent of Professional Coin Grading Service (PCGS) and Numismatic Guaranty Corp. (NGC), the guesswork — and the dealer shenanigans — have been removed from this market. There is now transparency and trust in grading as a result of these disinterested third-party grading services.

Ensure all of your collectible coins are graded by PCGS or NGC.

2. Rarity Trumps Everything

By far, the most important factor affecting the future appreciation of any coin in your collection is rarity.

The rarer a coin is the greater the potential for its price to rise. This is simple supply-and-demand price pressure. Collectors will pay more to own a unique (one of a kind) or nearly unique coin.

3. Buy the Best You Can Afford...

As a follow-on to “Rarity Trumps Everything,” it goes without saying that you increase your chance of success by buying the best you can afford.

When it comes time to make your purchase, given the options available in the marketplace and the limitations of your cash position, buying a lesser coin if you have the ability to buy one better would be a mistake.

4. ... Prior to a Big Jump in Price

The one exception I would make to buying the best you can afford is if the best you can afford comes with a substantial jump in premium from the previous grade.

For example, if you see a $20 Saint Gaudens gold coin is available at a small increase in premium when you compare MS62 with MS61... and when you compare MS63 with MS62... and when you compare MS64 with MS63… BUT when you compare the MS65 with the MS64 and the premium skyrockets, you should consider stopping at the MS64.

5. Choose a Theme or Set to Provide a Framework

When you have a road map, it is much easier to navigate. Oh, wait… I’m dating myself.

When you have a GPS, it is much easier to navigate.

The same is true with rare coins. Given your cash allocation, personal preferences or interests, consider building your portfolio around a particular scope of collectability to start.

Some to consider are…

  • Date Sets — All of the different years in which a particular coin was minted. Date sets can be all in the same grade or with no consideration given to grade
  • Mint Sets — All of a particular coin struck by the different mints (Philadelphia, San Francisco, Dahlonega, etc.)
  • Type Sets — All of the different types of coins minted in a particular year or at a particular mint ($20, $10, $5, $3, $2½, $1, etc.)
  • Historical Significance or Story — All the coins bound by a certain period or location, such as Civil War-era coins, Gold Rush coins or coins minted in New Orleans.

6. Layers of Collectibility

In the end, rare coins are only worth what somebody will pay you for them when it comes time to sell. The way to increase the interest in or desire for your coins is to attract a larger group of potential buyers.

One great way to do that is by adding layers of collectability. If you have a date set, you will attract buyers who collect date sets. But if you have a date set of all the coins issued during the Civil War period, you have now increased the pool of potentially interested buyers.

The more layers of collectability, the larger your pool of buyers and the more likely you are to get more money for your collection.

7. Look for BIG, Bold Gold

One clear trend in the United States is that of buying big, bold gold. Buying patterns suggest Americans prefer larger coins versus smaller ones. Buying what most collectors look for allows you to give them what they want when it comes time for you to sell.

8. Ask for Help

Unless you are an expert numismatist (rare coin enthusiast), don’t go it alone. There are tons of gray areas out there — and not everyone has your best interests in mind.

Reach out to specialists in this area with a long history of serving their clients well. “Learning” by making expensive mistakes is probably the No. 1 reason investors and collectors alike abandon their rare coin collections prematurely.

9. Most Importantly… Have Fun!

Like anything in life, the more you enjoy it, the better your chances of success. I tell my kids all the time… “Do your best and have fun.” I am convinced if you don’t have fun, you will succeed far less than you could have if you did, and you are certainly more at risk of quitting whatever it is you were doing.

We have worked with countless rare coin clients over the years. All initially come to us claiming to be in one of two camps… investors or collectors.

But I have yet to meet an investor who did not end up appreciating the quality and history of the coins they collected. And I have yet to meet a collector who did not want to make a profit when it came time to sell.

P.S. Rare, early U.S. gold is a fascinating addition to your investment portfolio. Click here to open an account and start investing today with the vast collection on offer from our partners at ASI. You’ll be surprised how fun making money can be.

Yours in freedom,

Bruce ‘the Poor Man’

 

Postscript & Other Relevant Posts

 

Coins considered junk Silver coins today, like the 90% Silver Washington Quarters that circulated from 1932-1964, are also a great way to increase your Silver holdings. Canvas bags of 400 Silver Washington quarters contain 71.5 oz of 90% Silver, making the Silver coin perfect for investment portfolios. And of course, Silver dollars are favorites thanks to their iconic designs, including Lady Liberty and American eagles. 

35% Silver war nickels give you the opportunity to own Silver at a low-premium cost. Produced by the United States from mid-1942 to 1945, these "War Nickels" were made from 56% copper, 35% Silver, and 9% manganese. 

 

How to start a neighborhood barter club


 

A Final Note…

  >>We watched Pres. Trump give his speech last night.  We were all impressed.  The major downside was the childish behavior displayed by Pelosi & many of the Dems…disrespectful & divisive as usual.  It’s no wonder to us as to why it’s been so hard to get anything done in Congress.  The response from Gov. Whitmer was disingenuous at best as Trump has done more for MI than she has.

Here’s an exclusive image we got of Pelosi before makeup last night!
 
 

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Having a Solar Power radio on-hand for emergencies keeps your essential electronics up and running in case you need to call for help. 

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Tuesday, February 4, 2020

Innovative Way to Save for Your Future


Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…


 

ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 



An Innovative Way to Save for Your Grandchildren’s Future

By Mike Hall

At a Christmas function I attended last year, I met a nice chap called Bob.

Bob had done pretty well for himself…

He had been a partner in a legal firm and is now enjoying his retirement.

Law might pay well, but it’s not much fun as a conversation topic.

Bob was much more interested in hearing about what I do for a living — rare collectibles.

During our chat, he asked me an interesting question: What collectibles would you recommend as a nest egg for my grandchildren?

Now, I don’t have grandchildren of my own yet, but I have two grown-up daughters, ages 23 and 20. And it was rare collectibles that paid for their education. Many of my other investments crashed and burned in recent years.

It hasn’t helped either that — for over 10 years now — banks have given me next to nothing for letting them hold my money.

But rare collectibles have proved to be a safe investment for me over the years — they’ve never let me down.

It turns out Bob has three grandchildren (9, 8 and 6 years old). He wanted to put aside some money for each of them. And he hoped to watch that money grow, so he could cash in the investment for them when they are 18 to help with university bills... as a deposit for a home... or to buy their first car.

I think this is a great idea. And I believe rare collectibles provide an innovative way to set aside a little nest egg for grandchildren.

Bob wanted to know what I would recommend based on initial investments of $1,000, $10,000 and $100,000.

Today, I’m going to tell you what I told him.

And I am confident that whatever you decide to invest, your rare collectibles investment portfolio will do well over the next 10 years or more. My confidence is supported by recent reporting in The Economist: “High-net-worth individual wealth will surpass $100 trillion by 2025, with about 10% invested in collectibles.”

With that kind of money flowing into the collectibles market, there is a very strong tailwind ahead to cause price inflation.

How to Build the Perfect Collectibles Portfolio

When someone you’ve gotten to know asks you to help them build a collectibles investment portfolio for them, you feel the pressure.

I didn’t want to let Bob down.

After all, his grandchildren’s future nest egg depended on me getting it right.

The recommendations I made were focused on areas of the collectibles market in which my team has 100-plus years of combined experience buying and selling at a profit.

The portfolios were split into the following four areas:

  1. Rare postage stamps and postal history.
  2. Rare coins.
  3. Historical documents, rare autographs and memorabilia.
  4. Limited-edition art.

I also made sure everything we selected for Bob:

  • Had a long-term history of rising in value.
  • Were items I consider likely to rise in value in the future, based on my insider market knowledge.
  • Were of the right quality and of sufficient rarity.
  • Included different areas of collecting, providing sound diversification.

Now let me share with you exactly what I presented to Bob after the fruits of our labor…

The Nest Egg Portfolios Revealed

The tables below show the constituents of each portfolio with their current value back-tested against their value 10 years ago.

$1,000 Portfolio — 25% stamps; 30% coins; 30% art; 15% autographs

 


The portfolio shows that even with a small investment, it is possible to acquire some fine quality rare collectibles.

And this portfolio has risen in value by 80% over the past 10 years.

If the historical growth rate continued for the next 10 years, the $1,000 investment would be worth $1,800 by 2030.

The best performers in the portfolio were the Salvador Dali print and the Penny Black, both of which doubled in value. The Penny Black will always be the world’s first postage stamp and is the most collected stamp in the world, providing constant demand against an inherent diminishing supply.

The poorest performer was the Louis Armstrong signed photograph, which was up by 50%. This is, however, a bit of an anomaly, as our sales price of $150 is much lower than recent average auction realizations, which are $250.

The “rarity factor” is much higher in this portfolio because of the higher values of the collectibles I was able to select for an investment of this size

The portfolio has risen in value by 112% over the past 10 years

If the historical growth rate continued for the next 10 years, the $10,000 investment would be worth $21,200 by 2030.

The best performer in the portfolio were the Chinese Empire stamps, showing growth of 329%. The Chinese collectibles market has been one of the strongest in recent years. There are now a reported 20 million stamp collectors in China, representing a third of the total number of stamp collectors in the world.

The poorest performer was the Muhammad Ali signed photo, up by 67% and still a decent growth rate.

This is an iconic photograph and — regardless of investment potential —a fantastic piece to own and hang up at home. I consider it undervalued and it should command a higher price in the future.
 

$100,000 Portfolio — 25% stamps; 35% coins; 10% art; 30% autographs

The $100,000 Portfolio

With a $100,000 investment, I was able to put together an investment portfolio comprising some exceptional and very rare pieces.

The portfolio has risen in value by 149% over the past 10 years. The higher growth rate reflects the expectation that rarer items will prove a stronger investment.

If the historical growth rate continued for the next 10 years, the $100,000 investment would be worth $249,000 by 2030.

The best performer in the portfolio was, again, the Chinese stamp, up 445%. The 1980 “Year of the Monkey” stamp is desirable because it is red and features the number 8, both of which are considered lucky in Chinese culture. The portfolio includes a much rarer mint block of four of this most famous stamp from China.

The poorest performer was the British “Seahorse” stamp from 1915, which was up only 40%. This stamp is considered a masterpiece in design and print quality and was effectively a piece of propaganda to present Britain’s strength during World War I. The 20-year growth rate for this stamp is much higher at 267%, so I think it is overdue a price increase in the market.

Worthy of special mention is the rare unpublished and illustrated work by Harry Potter author J.K. Rowling priced at $17,500. This is a very personal piece of memorabilia and truly exceptional.

t is comforting to know that the worst performer in all three portfolios still delivered 40% growth, which is a much better rate than any bank savings accounts offer.

Obviously, historical growth rates do not necessarily mean future growth rates will be the same. They could be higher or lower in the next 10 years.

P.S. One of these options pique your interest? Head on over to our partners at JustCollecting and talk to the experts about setting up your own rare collectible portfolio today.

Personally, I’ve made a small fortune buying/selling antiquarian, first edition books which I have collected for years; another area which has been lucrative are antique guns and high end knives.


Yours for a Socialist-Free America!

Bruce ‘the Poor Man’

 

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Monday, February 3, 2020

Leftist Drama-Rats are a Scourge


Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…


ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 


Leftist Drama-Rats are a Scourge

In my article 'Trump Impeachment And The Civil War Scenario', I warned that conservatives and leftists are being pushed to the brink of a shooting war using various methods of social manipulation and 4th Gen warfare, and that this conflict, if dictated by Left/Right politics, would only benefit establishment elites in the long run. Internal division among the public is designed to keep us at each other's throats while losing focus on the real enemies.

Hard line democrats and the social justice cult are merely a symptom of the disease, they are not the source of the disease. However, I also acknowledge that the rift between conservatives and the political left has become so extreme that reconciliation is almost impossible. War might be unavoidable, and the globalists love it. If they can pretend like they had nothing to do with creating tensions, and if conservatives are so blinded by anger against Democrats that they refuse to admit that some of their own political leaders (including Trump) have been co-opted, the elites win.

The danger in any civil war is that both sides end up being manipulated and controlled, and that the situation is maneuvered toward an outcome that only serves the interests of a select few elites.

Virginia may be a test bed, a trial run for a nationwide conflagration, and if it does hit a point where state officials compel a violent response from the citizenry, then it is important that liberty advocates remain vigilant and steer clear of incompetent or controlled leaders. It is also important that they remember there is a much larger agenda at play here; the Democrats may be useful idiots fueling that agenda, but most of them are oblivious to their role. Our fight is not with the Democrats, our fight is with the globalists that influence them; the same globalists that are trying to influence us.

The current situation in Virginia remains a battle of political rhetoric and "fluid" interpretations of the law. Here are the arguments I've seen from the political left so far on the issue of 2nd Amendment Sanctuaries:

Leftists argue that sanctuary county resolutions are "purely symbolic" and have no force of law behind them. 


This is a rather naive (perhaps deliberately naive) position, as it ignores the fundamentals. The force of law is either compelled by conscience, or it is compelled by violence. The law itself is meaningless without these two factors. If groups of citizens choose not to follow a law because they find it morally reprehensible, there is nothing the state can do except try to frighten them into compliance with the threat of violence. The concept of a law by itself has no energy, and claiming that something is "right" because it is now "law" is not a valid argument.

In the case of anti-gun laws in Virginia, the vast majority of counties in the state and the people in those counties have made it clear that they will not comply. The leftists have completely ignored this fact by simply saying "They have to comply because the law says so..." This is the type of attitude that leads to war.

Leftists argue that state laws supersede county authority and there is no legal standing for sanctuary resolutions.


The problem with this argument is that it ignores the fact that constitutional protections provided by the Bill of Rights supersede all other laws. It does not matter if attempts are being made by state governments or the federal government to degrade constitutional rights, the people are empowered to refuse and fight against any laws which violate constitutional laws.

For example, Democrats often bring up the history of Jim Crow Laws as a rationale for Federal intervention in the legal affairs of states. Jim Crow laws were segregation laws passed by state government, and in many cases there was resistance on a public level to these laws. Democrats like to cite Jim Crow laws whenever conservatives argue for states rights and 10th Amendment nullification of unconstitutional federal laws. They have conveniently memory-holed the issue whenever state laws are working in favor of their agenda.

The bottom line is this: The constitution takes precedence over all other law, and if Democrats are going to use legal technicality as their foundation for draconian gun control measures, then they really have no leg to stand on. If their argument is that citizens and counties have no legal right to nullify state laws no matter how immoral or unconstitutional, then what would they say if a state government brought back Jim Crow, or legalized slavery? Virginia's gun control efforts are no different.

Leftists assert that new laws are "standard" because similar laws have been passed in other states.

 

 

 

 

This is the totalitarian tiptoe at work. Once an unconstitutional law is passed in California, New York or Illinois, this therefore means that the laws have become "standard" and are thus acceptable. An unconstitutional law is an unconstitutional law. It does not matter how many states pass such a law and proclaim it normal or standard. The people of Virginia have announced in mass that they have no intention of following new gun control laws. The people have spoken, over 90 percent of counties in Virginia have passed 2nd Amendment resolutions with the support of the citizenry. Democrats gaining seats in an election does not give them the power to deny constitutional rights to Virginians.

Beyond this, the Virginia laws are nowhere near standard. Clearly, Virginia is being used as a testing ground for Red Flag laws, which are the most concerning. Red Flag laws allow gun confiscation without due process based on ambiguous accusations; it is prosecution and punishment without representation or defense. Red Flag gun laws are a means by which the state can violate your rights while circumventing due process.

The numerous laws Virginia's government hopes to implement set the stage for the incremental removal of all gun rights. They are pushing the envelope to see how far they can move the boundary of what is "standard" when it comes to anti-gun laws. The people of Virginia know this is the agenda. It has always been the leftist agenda (not to mention a globalist agenda) to seek out total disarmament of the population. This is unacceptable and will not be tolerated.

Leftists argue that law enforcement authorities that refuse to enforce new gun laws risk losing their "official immunity."


I'm not sure that "official immunity" has anything to do with the enforcement of gun laws; it is meant to protect LEOs from civil litigation while conducting normal ministerial duties. This sounds more like an a thinly veiled threat against county officials and law enforcement who refuse to comply. It is also an empty threat.

County officials cannot be compelled by the state to actively enforce gun control laws, nor can the state force a county to set aside funds for such an effort. In the case of county sheriffs, these are officials elected by the people of the county, and they answer to the those people, not the state government. County officials can be punished for breaking the law, but they cannot be punished for not enforcing the law to the arbitrary degree that the state sees as acceptable.

Leftists are pursuing other avenues to enforce new gun laws.


The state government has threatened the use of the National Guard to force counties to comply. They have also sought to form a gun control "task force," essentially a goon squad, which would be used as a weapon to enter into sanctuary counties and enforce the law by circumventing local law enforcement, much like the federal government used the FBI or ATF to circumvent state authorities when it pleases them. I would suggest to the government of Virginia that these actions are a detrimental mistake.

The National Guard of Virginia is made up of the citizens of Virginia, and many of these people may not comply either. If they do, or if the state establishes an enforcement arm to target individual citizens to make examples out of them, the most likely outcome is that people will defend themselves and their constitutional rights. People on both sides might be hurt in the process.

The question then arises: Are these laws worth dying for? I can say with some authority that the majority of conservatives are willing to risk death to protect their rights. Are state authorities willing to risk death to enforce unconstitutional laws? Because this is where the situation is headed...

Leftists assume this is all about Virginia.


Conservatives don't see it that way. A conflict in Virginia will likely attract thousands of people from outside the state, because the view will be that the line is being drawn there.

Now, it's important for conservatives, especially those that actually live in Virginia, to understand that there will be con men and shysters who will show up out of nowhere and try to exploit the situation to elevate their own careers or public image. They will try to make as much money as they can while shamelessly self-promoting. They will pretend to help while offering substandard advice and substandard training. And if the manure hits the fan, these guys will suddenly disappear as quickly as they arrived.

There will also be people who will try to steer the conflict toward a left vs right paradigm, as I noted earlier. Sanctuary counties should maintain local leadership and local representation in these matters to avoid being manipulated. If people outside the state want to help, then they should be fine with doing this under the supervision and management of the locals.

The best possible scenario would be that the state government of Virginia realizes that it's not worth it to try to enforce unconstitutional gun laws, and that the risks are far too high to manage. They would abandon such endeavors and recognize that counties will not comply even if they try to apply leverage to them.

The worst-case scenario is that this is an establishment beta test for the rest of the country, and that they may want to start a conflict, in the hopes that this will spread into a national civil war. If this is the case, and a wider conflict is triggered, conservatives must not lose sight of the bigger picture. The globalists should be the focus of our ire; the democrats are being used. A conflict based only on political division will mean defeat for us all, and a win for the elites.

To truth and knowledge,

Brandon Smith

 
Yours for a Free Nation,

Bruce ‘The Poor Man’

 

Other Bits n Pieces

American citizenship is eroding


Victor Davis Hanson // Highland County Press Today, many condemn the idea of nationalism by connecting it to race hatred (e.g., white nationalism). But historically, the modern nation-state has proven uniquely suitable to preserving individual rights. The American nation in particular was successful in uniting individuals of different races, ethnic backgrounds and creeds into one […]
Read more of this post


There’s no way to downplay the importance of being able to cook in a survival scenario. With a simple heat source you can stay warm, sterilize water, cook out impurities in meat, and even begin to manipulate soft metals. Cooking over an open campfire is simple enough if you’re in the middle of a forest, but in an urban environment, you might not have a thousand trees at your disposal.

Fortunately, there are many simple DIY designs for making a stove, and they all involve materials you might find on your average zombie-ravaged city block. Here are 13 excellent plans, broken down by the urban materials required to make them.

 Stone - In an everyday disaster-ravaged city, stone will be one of the most abundant materials available for making stoves. Here are designs for three types of stone-based materials:..

 


Do You Want a Bigger Nanny State; to Give Up More Freedom?

Fight now against Socialism…


 

Freedom Self-Reliance Action


 

Yours for smarter living,

Bruce ‘the Poor Man’

 

 

 


Additional FREE Resources



Living Frugally In Suburbia
You live differently than your neighbors.

 

14 Frugal Food-Rescuing Tips from Grandma
These depression-era frugal tips still work today!

 

8 Simple Ways to Put More Money in Your Pocket
Have more money without working harder!

 

Knowing When and How to Stockpile Groceries
Stocking up could save your grocery budget!

 

Emergency Preparedness on a Budget 
Affordable ways to prepare for an emergency.



 

Contributors and subscribers enable the Poor Man Survivor to post 150+ free essays & free reports that I provide annually. It is for this reason they are Heroes and Heroines of New Media. Without your financial support, the free content would disappear for the simple reason that I cannot keep body and soul together on my meager book sales & ecommerce alone.  You can make a donation at top of this page via PayPal.

 

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A Smoking Frog Feature, Shallow Planet Production