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Showing posts with label financial crash. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financial crash. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

U.S. Economy Would Continue To Crash Even If All The Lockdowns Were Lifted Immediately…


Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…


ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 



 
OVID-19 has created an enormous amount of fear, and that fear is doing far more damage to the economy than the actual virus is.  In an environment of fear, financial institutions become a lot tighter with their money, and that inevitably causes economic activity to slow down.  For example, just consider what happened in 2008.  Mortgage lending standards suddenly became much more strict, and that greatly contributed to the horrific housing price crash which left millions upon millions of Americans underwater on their mortgages.  Unfortunately, this coronavirus pandemic has created a wave of fear that is far greater than what we experienced during the last recession, and that has enormous implications for the months ahead.

Extremely loose lending standards helped create debt-fueled “booms” throughout our economy in recent years, but now lending standards are going in the complete opposite direction very rapidly.

For instance, Chase is now requiring a credit score of at least 700 for all new home loans, and they are one of the financial institutions that is now requiring a down payment of at least 20 percent…

A Chase spokesperson confirmed that starting April 14, new mortgage applicants will need a minimum credit score of 700 and a down payment of 20%. Refinancing applications for non-Chase mortgages will also need the same score. Chase didn’t disclose its previous lending standards but the average downpayment for first-time home buyers is around 6%, according to a 2018 survey from the National Association of Realtors.

If you own your home, would you have been approved for a mortgage under the new Chase standards?

And Chase is far from alone.  In fact, most major mortgage lenders have now tightened up, and Redfin is estimating that about a quarter of all home buyers last year would not have qualified under the new standards.

So if you remove about a quarter of all buyers from the marketplace moving forward, what happens to the housing market?

Yes, there will be an implosion, and it will happen no matter whether coronavirus lockdowns are in effect or not.

And home equity loans are going to be hit even harder.  As I discussed last week, Wells Fargo is no longer taking HELOC applications at all.

So now matter how good your credit is, you simply cannot get a home equity line of credit from Wells Fargo at this point.

This is what fear does.

We see similar things happening in the credit card industry.  Standards have been greatly tightened for new customers, and in some instances existing customers are having their limits slashed or their cards suddenly canceled.  The following comes from Newsweek…

Analysts warn that credit card companies are lowering credit limits and canceling cards—often without warning—amid the pandemic-induced economic crisis, just as they did during the Great Recession.

If you think that this won’t have a dramatic impact on the U.S. economy, then you probably haven’t been paying attention.

Our economy is a consumer driven economy, and if consumers don’t have access to easy credit there is no way in the world that economic activity will return to previous levels.

Of course even if they did have access to easy credit, many Americans are so afraid of this virus that they have no intention of resuming normal economic patterns any time soon…

Here’s hoping you enjoyed the last movie or concert you attended, because if the results of a new survey are accurate, it may be a long, long time before such events are ever popular again. According to the research, 40% of Americans plan to avoid public spaces unless “absolutely necessary” long after the coronavirus pandemic has subsided.

The survey, commissioned by Vital Vio, asked 1,000 U.S. adults about how they envision every day life in the wake of the coronavirus. All in all, it looks like there are suddenly a whole lot more germaphobes in the land of the free. Over four in five (82%) said they are now more aware of, and concerned about, cleaning protocols in public areas. Additionally, 58% are more suspicious about their friends’ and family’s hygiene habits.

And a lot of companies are also going to be extremely hesitant to “return to normal” because of the threat of lawsuits.

Earlier today, I was stunned to learn that 771 coronavirus-related lawsuits have already been filed…

Hundreds of lawsuits stemming from the coronavirus pandemic are rapidly amassing in state and federal courts, the first wave of litigation challenging decisions made early during the crisis by corporations, insurance companies and governments.

Claims have been filed against hospitals and senior-living facilities, airlines and cruise lines, fitness chains and the entertainment industry – 771 as of Friday, according to a database compiled by Hunton Andrews Kurth, an international law firm tracking cases that emerge from the pandemic.
 
 
 

Isn’t that insane?

I have repeatedly warned my readers that it will be exceedingly difficult to “return to normal” in our overly litigious society, but even I didn’t expect so many lawsuits so soon.

And this is just the beginning.  Eventually there will be thousands upon thousands of coronavirus lawsuits, and they will tie up our courts for the foreseeable future.

This pandemic just seems to be magnifying everything that is wrong with our society, and at this point the future looks so bleak that even perpetually optimistic Warren Buffett is throwing in the cards…

A 95% plunge in passengers. Billions in losses. A rush for new debt. A recovery that executives expect to take years. Coronavirus is roiling the airline industry and the Oracle of Omaha has seen enough.

Warren Buffett told investors Saturday that Berkshire Hathaway has sold its entire stakes in the four largest U.S. airlines — American, Delta, Southwest, United — as the pandemic upends another bet on the sector that the famed investor had shunned for years before a surprise return in 2016.

Buffett understands that fear of this virus is going to paralyze air travel for a very long time to come, and he is getting out while he still can.

But if our society cannot even handle COVID-19, what will things look like once much worse things start happening?

It has been sobering to watch how rapidly our “snowflake society” has melted during this pandemic.

Now virtually the entire nation is paralyzed by fear, and the once great U.S. economy is crashing all around us.

And the really bad news is that this is just the beginning…

About the Author: I am a voice crying out for change in a society that generally seems content to stay asleep. My name is Michael Snyder and I am the publisher of The Economic Collapse Blog, End Of The American Dream and The Most Important News, and the articles that I publish on those sites are republished on dozens of other prominent websites all over the globe.

 


NOTES:  Last week I fell off a moving truck [transporting a fridge] and broke my left hand/wrist in two places, bruised a rib and jammed my thumb on the right hand.  It’s in a cast and painful; making typing and many others tasks very challenging.
 

The majority of people have lost the ability to discern the difference between what's real vs. fake. They think their stock valuations are real, while they believe the coronavirus is fake, for example.

Failing to know the difference will lead to self-destruction during the chaos that's coming. Being able to accurately identify real vs. fake is a critical survival skill.

In today's important article, I list 12 things that are real, and 12 more than are fake. Read this list and gain this lifesaving knowledge.


 

Bill O’Reilly: Media a bigger threat to the country than the virus


 

7 Coronavirus Protection Strategies for Seniors: Older adults are at higher risk for severe COVID-19, as well as other viral and bacterial illnesses. Know how to stay safe. Consumer Report


Facebook Monitors "Off-Facebook Activity"


You will be shocked if you look at the new "Off-Facebook Activity" section of settings in the Facebook app or website. You will see hundreds if not thousands of websites reporting to Facebook where you have visited. Here's how you can control that information to a degree.

Small-business guru Barbara Weltman has a new book out: "Home Business Magazine's Home-Based Business Start-Up Guide: A Step-By-Step Road Map - with Checklists - to Get You Started Up, Profitable, and Successful in Your Own Home-Based Business." Good timing, with so many people shifting careers right now, voluntarily or involuntarily.

Running Your Online Business During Difficult Times -
This is not the first time I have seen my business crash.  First there was 9-11 and then the financial meltdown of 2008.  In both cases, I wrongly assumed with high unemployment and people hurting financially, that there would be a rush by people wanting to start selling online.  But
Continue Reading

 


Stunning: Pelosi Blocks Investigation Of China And Origins Of Wuhan Virus — Puts All Resources Into Another Hoax Investigation Of Donald Trump


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Yours for saner living,

Bruce, the Poor Man!

 

A Final Note…


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Essential information like important contacts, incoming public alerts, and they give us online access to survival strategies and life-saving techniques.

Your phone also has special functions like digital compasses, levels, and even the tiny flashlight that can be the difference between life or death in a crisis.

Your phone is that important, and should not be overlooked as an essential survival device.

THE MAJOR PROBLEM: Your phone’s power fails quicker than any survival tool you own.

THE SOLUTION: Fortunately, when you grab this "forever charger," your phone will always be charged…available at our storefront!


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Thursday, August 8, 2019

Doom Index: Surviving a Collapse+How to Protect Your Gun Rights


Poor Man Survival

Self Reliance tools for independent minded people…


ISSN 2161-5543

A Digest of Urban Survival Resources

 


Doom Index: Surviving a Collapse+How to Protect Your Gun Rights

We Are Sitting On Top of the Biggest Bubble In History…There’s not a single person or economist (that I’m aware of, at least) that denies 1995-2000 was a bubble. It was the most extreme in U.S. history…


And when you compare that period to what’s happened between 2009 to today…

The only significant difference is that the newer bubble has lasted a year longer due to artificial stimulus.

When this bubble finally pops, we’re going to witness the worst market crash in history.


So far, the big, fat, ugly Dow has sat on the wall and stubbornly refused to tumble. But last week, Donald J. Trump gave Humpty a shove.

He turned up the Trade War Dial, from 1/2 crazy to 3/4 crazy. China retaliated with its own version of crazy, cutting agricultural purchases from the U.S. and letting the yuan fall.

Inflate-or-Die Trap


China, like the U.S., is in an Inflate-or-Die trap. Its economy is even more grotesque and distorted than the U.S.’

It has millions of empty apartments … silent factories … roads to nowhere … bridges that connect nothing to nobody … and whole ghost towns, put up to satisfy a demand that wasn’t really there. It has excess capacity in almost every sector.

Now, it can’t just sit back and let Mr. Market correct Mr. Party Functionary’s mistakes. It must keep the money flowing, or the economy may collapse … and drag its communist rulers down with it. A weaker yuan helps it inflate domestic prices … while making its exports even harder to resist.

Almost all major countries are stuck. They’ve all built their economies on fake money and phony interest rates. Soon, they’ll all be competing to debase their currencies to keep the fake money flowing and the whole fandango going.

The E.U. and China will further lower interest rates and pump money into their systems, making it much easier for their manufacturers to sell product. In the meantime, and with very low inflation, our Fed does nothing…

 

Undermining Capitalism


Labor costs about $5 an hour in China. In the U.S., it’s about $25. With a 5-to-1 advantage, China is the world’s go-to source for many manufactured items.
The U.S. can’t compete on raw labor costs. It has to use capital — money, machinery, knowledge — to produce higher-quality/luxury brand goods with less labor input. No trade agreement is going to change that.
But instead of even trying to understand the real challenge, the feds make the problem worse. Like the commie leaders in China, they pretend to stimulate, manage, and improve the economy.
But the typical Democrat or Republican knows no more about economics than the typical communist. Maybe less.
So, instead of letting capitalism do its work, the feds undermine it with phony prices and ersatz capital.
Capitalism needs real capital — savings. But the geniuses at the Fed have been punishing saving and rewarding debt (anti-capital) for at least the last 10 years. That’s why growth rates are falling and almost all the new jobs created in the last 20 years are in the low-wage, low-productivity service sector, rather than high-value-added manufacturing.
And the trade war is just another capital-killing move by the feds. Deep State grifters want to tell us with whom we can do business … and on what terms.
So, instead of buying from the most efficient producer — China — American firms are forced to turn to Vietnam or Mexico to get what they need at higher prices.

Or, they can hire lobbyists and spend time trying to get special exceptions, dispensations, and indulgences from Washington. Either way, it is time (and capital) down the drain.

For the moment, Humpty is still comfortably high on the wall. But the wall may give way from under him. And while we have no way of knowing what will happen, or when, we try to stay alert. And when we judge that the odds of a major fall are high, we run our old, tattered Crash Alert flag up the pole.

Doom Index Update


The poor old black-and-blue flag has seen better days. It’s been up and down so often over the last three … and it stayed out in the rain, wind and weather for so long … we’ve begun to feel sorry for it.
“You keep warning about a crash. If you keep it up, you’ll be right eventually. Even a stopped clock is right twice a day,” writes a skeptical reader.

Our reader is right. But it’s better to be right eventually than never. And twice a day seems like plenty. So, we’re leaving the damned flag up. Besides, our research department, led by the capable Joe Withrow, tells us this is no time to take it down.
Joe’s report on the Doom Index in detail can be found below. But here’s the CliffsNotes version:
We got another 8 reading, keeping us at crash levels. The economic numbers show a clear slowdown … Stocks valuations remain stretched … We are seeing twice as many bond downgrades as upgrades, which is concerning given the sheer amount of debt coming due over the next four years … And credit growth slowed by 80%. No wonder the Fed is rushing to cut rates …

The Dow hit an all-time high on July 11. But remember, according to classic Dow Theory, a new high in the Dow 30 industrials must be confirmed by a new high in the Dow Transportation Index.
The transports — trucks, ships, rails — tell us when the goods are moving. If the transport stocks don’t go up, something is wrong. No new high in transports, no real new bull market.
The industrials hit a new high. But we never got confirmation from the transports.

“If it can’t go up,” say the old-timers, “it must go down.”
Regards, Bill
• This article was originally published by Bonner & Partners. You can learn more about Bill and Bill Bonner’s Diary right here.

 




While the mainstream media is breathing heavy about Trump’s “maniacal” tweets… 
There’s a story that’s slipping through the cracks.

 Graham Summers, author of the bestselling book The Everything Bubble, believes Trump’s now going in for the killshot.

And, according to Graham, it’s going to cripple the Deep State.

As you’ll see, a Washington insider has already confirmed this major move…

“This event will rock global financial markets,” Graham wrote this week, “and it will change how you retire and save... 

“And it will cement Trump’s legacy as the biggest proponent of the stock market in history... 

Trump has already tipped his hand.

And when he executes his plan, you’ll want to be ready.

Everything you need to know is in a 
brand new PDF report Summers just finished up this week

Yours in Freedom,

Bruce ‘the PoorMan’

Additional News of Note…

Sustainable Gardening Foods 
That Re-Grow From Scraps

The next time you make dinner for yourself and your family, you may want to think twice before you toss your kitchen scraps into the trash or compost pill. Did you know that there are a good deal of commonly used vegetables and herbs that will actually regrow from the scraps that you normally throw away? I had heard that you could do this with pineapple, but I was surprised to see some of the other plants that will actually regrow.

 
 
Make no mistake about it: the ultimate goal of the gun control gang is not to limit gun ownership to law-abiding citizens but to eliminate their presence entirely.

The elitist socialists fear a citizenry capable of rising in armed resistance to their Big Brother dream of dictating behavior for all Americans.

What can we do to stop the gun grabbers?

Supporters of 2nd Amendment rights must not, under any circumstances, let our guard down. We must remain vigilant to repel the attempts by anti-gun zealots like Michael Bloomberg and his horde to take away our guns or, barring that, to take away our ammunition to render our guns useless.

  • You can become a member of a pro-gun organization like Gun Rights for America or the NRA.
  • Learn about District of Columbia vs. Heller and your right to bear arms.
  • Keep tabs on your state's gun laws with this state directory.
  • Monitor lawmaker activities, not only in Congress but at your state and local levels as well. Attend the town hall meetings and speak up. 
  • Buy a gun, get trained in its use and practice, practice, practice. Have a spare magazine handy for situations like this one. Don't be a helpless victim.
  • Support candidates who vow to stand up for gun rights. 
  • Discover the truth about guns from crime statistics databases like the FBI's (Read the reports and you'll see that gun violence is going down, not up).

It’s not a matter of if, but a matter of when... 

When will another law be signed or directive given to disarm American citizens?


When gun control was brought up at the second Democratic presidential debate this week, South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg rattled off the usual list of gun-control restrictions... Read More


A Final Note…

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You Can’t Buy Life Insurance After You’re Dead-Prepare NOW for Emergencies. Resources-Solar Chargers back in stock-Grab one now as they go fast.  Our supply on eBay sold out in ten minutes! New:

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